Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000144 0.000161 0.000179 0.000200 0.000223 0.000248 0.000277
2025-08-10 0.000117 0.000139 0.000164 0.000195 0.000232 0.000273 0.000325
2025-08-17 0.000100 0.000125 0.000156 0.000195 0.000244 0.000303 0.000380
2025-08-24 0.000085 0.000112 0.000146 0.000191 0.000251 0.000326 0.000429
2025-08-31 0.000074 0.000102 0.000139 0.000190 0.000260 0.000351 0.000482
2025-09-07 0.000066 0.000095 0.000133 0.000190 0.000269 0.000378 0.000539
2025-09-14 0.000059 0.000088 0.000127 0.000188 0.000276 0.000401 0.000592
2025-09-21 0.000054 0.000083 0.000125 0.000190 0.000288 0.000433 0.000660
2025-09-28 0.000050 0.000079 0.000122 0.000191 0.000299 0.000461 0.000725
2025-10-05 0.000045 0.000074 0.000118 0.000189 0.000305 0.000484 0.000783
2025-10-12 0.000043 0.000072 0.000117 0.000194 0.000320 0.000522 0.000866
2025-10-19 0.000040 0.000068 0.000114 0.000194 0.000329 0.000549 0.000936
2025-10-26 0.000037 0.000065 0.000111 0.000194 0.000338 0.000578 0.001011
2025-11-02 0.000034 0.000061 0.000107 0.000192 0.000343 0.000601 0.001078
2025-11-09 0.000031 0.000058 0.000105 0.000193 0.000354 0.000635 0.001168
2025-11-16 0.000029 0.000055 0.000101 0.000190 0.000357 0.000656 0.001236
2025-11-23 0.000027 0.000052 0.000099 0.000190 0.000364 0.000683 0.001317
2025-11-30 0.000025 0.000050 0.000096 0.000190 0.000372 0.000714 0.001406
2025-12-07 0.000023 0.000047 0.000094 0.000188 0.000376 0.000738 0.001485
2025-12-14 0.000022 0.000046 0.000093 0.000190 0.000389 0.000778 0.001599
2025-12-21 0.000021 0.000044 0.000091 0.000191 0.000399 0.000814 0.001708
2025-12-28 0.000020 0.000042 0.000089 0.000190 0.000404 0.000840 0.001797
2026-01-04 0.000019 0.000042 0.000089 0.000194 0.000421 0.000892 0.001945